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The market is pricing in 3 Bank of Canada rate hikes in 2026

2026-04-13

Alex Bellefleur, Head of Research, Senior VP and portfolio manager at iA IM, explains how hard market direction is to predict and shares key economic indicators since the start of 2026. Surprisingly, he notes that the bond market is pricing in three Bank of Canada policy rate hikes by 2027 — and no cuts in the United States.

This information was prepared by Fabien Major, who is an investment advisor for iA Private Wealth Inc., and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of iA Private Wealth Inc. The information in this text comes from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee its accuracy or reliability. The opinions expressed are based on analysis and interpretation as of the date of publication and may change without notice. Furthermore, they do not constitute an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell the securities mentioned. The information contained in this document may not apply to all types of investors. iA Private Wealth Inc. is a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund and the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization. iA Private Wealth is a trademark and a trade name under which iA Private Wealth Inc. carries on business.

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